CLIENTS IN BLIND COPY
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 12 2021<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">1. A tropical wave located near the Windward Islands has continued to
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">become less organized this morning and development of the system is
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">not expected. Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds will be
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">possible across portions of the central and northern Lesser
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Antilles today.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">2. The northern portion of a tropical wave is producing a large area
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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">of disorganized showers and thunderstorms across Hispaniola, the
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas. Development of this
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">system, if any, will be slow to occur during the next couple of days
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">due to unfavorable environmental conditions. The system is expected
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">to interact with a front by the end of the week and further
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">development is unlikely after that time. Regardless of development,
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of Hispaniola, the
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Turks and Caicos, and the southeastern Bahamas during the next day
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or two.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
Kelly J. Moran, Vice President
Moran Shipping Agencies, Inc.
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