NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
200 AM EDT Mon Oct 11 2021<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">1. A non-tropical low pressure area located just off the North
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Carolina coast continues to produce some disorganized showers and
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">thunderstorms. Although this system is not expected to become a
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">tropical or subtropical cyclone, locally heavy rainfall and gusty
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">winds are still possible over portions of the North Carolina Outer
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Banks today and information on these hazards can be found in
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">products issued by your local National Weather Service Office.
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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Additional information on this low pressure system, including gale
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National
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Weather Service.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">2. A tropical wave located about 400 miles east-southeast of the
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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">thunderstorms. Some slow development is possible during the next
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph
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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">toward the Lesser Antilles. After that time, strong upper-level
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">winds are expected to limit further development. Regardless of
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall and
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">gusty winds across portions of the central and northern Lesser
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Antilles on Tuesday, and across the Virgin Islands and Leeward
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Islands on Wednesday.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">3. Another tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is
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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">producing a large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers.
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Unfavorable upper-level winds are expected to limit development
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">over the next day or so, but environmental conditions could become a
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">little more conducive for some gradual development of the system
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">when it is located near the southeastern Bahamas around midweek.
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola during
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">the next couple of days.
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* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
Kelly J. Moran, Vice President
Moran Shipping Agencies, Inc.
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