800 AM AST Fri Sep 20 2019<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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...HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM JERRY...<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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LOCATION...18.5N 59.6W<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM ENE OF BARBUDA<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.20 INCHES<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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WATCHES AND WARNINGS<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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None.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* St. Maarten<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* St. Martin<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* St. Barthelemy<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Saba and St. Eustatius<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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800 AM EDT Fri Sep 20 2019<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">1. A tropical wave located about 700 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The wave
is expected to move quickly westward at about 20 mph during the next few days, and some development is possible while it approaches and moves across the Windward Islands this weekend. Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development
once the wave moves over the eastern Caribbean Sea early next week.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">2. A broad area of low pressure located over the central Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity, mainly to
the east and northeast of its center of circulation. This system is expected to move slowly west-northwestward and significant development is unlikely due to strong upper-level winds. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions
of the Greater Antilles during the next few days.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">3. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa this weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for
development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form early next week while the wave moves westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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NEXT MESSAGE FROM MORAN SHIPPING – AM/21
Kelly J. Moran, Vice President
Moran Shipping Agencies, Inc.
As Agents only
1643B Savannah Hwy, #394
Charleston, SC 29407
Phone: 843-722-8227 Fax: 843-577-4391
chs@moranshipping.com www.moranshipping.com
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