(CLIENTS IN BLIND COPY)<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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0900 UTC MON SEP 16 2019<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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INTERESTS IN AND AROUND BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HUMBERTO.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 77.3W AT 16/0900Z<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 4 KT<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 15NW.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
34 KT.......110NE 130SE 60SW 70NW.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
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<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">1. Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in association with a small low pressure system located over the central tropical Atlantic.
Satellite data also indicate that the low has become better defined, and environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the formation of a tropical depression during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly northwestward to west-northwestward.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow">
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";color:black">2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico are associated with an upper-level low and a weak surface trough.
Little, if any, development of this system is expected before it moves inland along the northwestern Gulf coast tonight or Tuesday. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall along portions of the central and upper
Texas coastal areas later this week.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.<span-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"">