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| Subject: | SOUTH CAROLINA DAILY UPDATE - HURRICANE FAY | | Date: | Friday, August 22, 2008 | | Priority: | Normal | | Notice: |
URGENT INFORMATION: CHARLESTON HURRICANE ALERT STATUS IS CURRENTLY AT
LEVEL 3 - X-RAY.
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PORT LIMITS/INFORMATION
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Maximum Depths - (Fresh)
Harbor Entrance - 47.0 ft
Main Channel - 45.0 ft
BERTH LIMITS/INFORMATION:
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Current maximum drafts allowed at berths:
Amerada Hess - Max draft of 38'00 if LOA is less than 650'; Max draft of
36'00 if LOA is 650'00 or greater Kinder Morgan - berth 1 - 40'00 Kinder
Morgan - berth 2 - 40'00 Kinder Morgan - berth 3 - TBA berth 4 - Max
draft 39'00, tide needed for anything deeper than 36'00 BP - TBA Wando
Terminal - Max draft 46'00 - Max BM 187'00 North Charleston Terminal -
Max 42'00 - Max BM 187'00 CST - Max draft 47'00 - Max BM 187'00
Per pilots - restrictions for Tanker movements:
Drafts of 36'00 or less may transit at anytime Drafts of 36'01 to 40'00 -
window: Start in 1 Hour before low water until
2 hours before high water
Drafts of 40'01 to 41'00 - window: start in 2 hours after low water until
2 hours before high water
Drafts of 41'01 to 42'00 - window: start in 3 hours after low water until
3 hours before high water
VESSEL TRAFFIC:
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BP - TUG INTEGRITY & 650-4 IN 1555/18TH EST OUT 1300/25TH
=============================================
FEDERAL, STATE & LOCAL FILING REQUIREMENTS:
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96 Hours - advance notice of arrival required by USCG
48 Hours - advance receipt of crew list by Immigration for any vessel
arriving from a foreign port, or arriving coast wise with detained crew.
24 Hours (minimum) - Foreign cargo must have manifest submitted to
Customs & Border Patrol AMS. Bond must be filed for Foreign flag vessels
or U.S. flag arriving with foreign cargo aboard.
24 Hours - advance notice to Pilots
24 Hours - advance fax of crew list and approved visitors required by
Terminal.
72 Hours - post port call, the Port Authority requires bill of lading
figures for all bulk cargo.
Port Security - All persons doing business within Port Authority property
must have security pass from SCPA.
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NEWS ARTICLES: NONE
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FUTURE/ONGOING ISSUES:
8/25 - 1330 - STRATEGIC PLANNING COMMITTEE MEETING - SPA BOARD ROOM
09/17 - 0800 - MARITIME ASSOC OF SC BOARD MEETING
10/08 - 1800 - CWIT OYSTER ROAST
10/30 - TBA - PROPELLOR CLUB 75TH ANNIVERSARY PARTY
2013 - PROPOSED TIME FRAME FOR NEW PORT TERMINAL TO BE COMPLETED
CURRENT ISSUES - NONE
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CURRENT HURRICANE ALERT STATUS - 3 - X-RAY
Fay: Satellite imagery, radar loops and surface analysis indicates that
Fay has changed very little overnight with the strongest winds 50 miles
or more from the center and the strongest rainbands over the Atlantic
well to the east of the center. Fay's sustained winds are now at 50 mph.
Fay is now tracking a little north of due west at a forward speed of 6
mph. Fay is on the south side of a building and strengthening ridge of
high pressure over the eastern United States and the global models
forecast this area of high pressure to persist through this weekend. This
overall weather pattern should cause Fay to move slowly to the west this
weekend with the track model guidance agreeing with this scenario. The
European model is the furthest west with this track and forecasts Fay to
come ashore once again in southeastern Louisiana on Sunday night into
Monday. The GFS model is further east and the Canadian model forecasts
Fay to never make it back into the Gulf of Mexico. The NAM model agrees
with the European model and forecasts a track into the Gulf of Mexico
with Fay coming ashore in southeastern Louisiana on Sunday night or
Monday morning. This difference in the global models is due to the fact
that a trough of low pressure over the central United States is forecast
to weaken the ridge of high pressure, which should allow Fay to turn to
the north late this weekend into early next week. It should be noted that
there is considerable spread in the model tracks.
Fay's future intensity is highly dependent on the exact track and
structure of the storm. If Fay takes a track like the GFS or Canadian
model are showing, then little or no intensification would occur.
However, if Fay takes a track like the NAM or European model are showing,
then it could strengthen into a moderate to strong tropical storm. Fay's
broad structure is likely to limit rapid intensification. It should be
noted that by Monday, the global models are forecasting that westerly
shear should impact Fay and stop any strengthening that may be occuring.
Here are my thoughts regarding Fay: I think Fay will track somewhere
between the GFS and European/NAM model forecast tracks and track into the
northeastern Gulf of Mexico by late this afternoon and then track
westward across the northern Gulf of Mexico throughout Saturday before
coming ashore on the Mississippi coastline sometime on Sunday. As for
strengthening, I think slow strengthening seems quite possible from
tonight through Saturday and into Saturday night and I think Fay will
come ashore as a moderate to strong tropical storm (50 to 70 mph winds)
on the Mississippi coast on Sunday.
Folks on the northern Gulf Coast should keep close tabs on the track of
Fay. For detailed local information on Fay, please refer to our Tropical
Storm Fay Page.
Invest 94-L and Invest 95-L: If the headaches with the forecast track of
Fay isn't enough, I am also monitoring two tropical disturbances over the
central and eastern Atlantic. Both disturbances can be seen on this
satellite image.
The first disturbance, dubbed Invest 94-L is located about 600 miles east
of the Windward Islands. The second disturbance, dubbed 95-L is located
just to the east-southeast of 94-L. Currently, wind shear analysis is
showing at least 20 to 30 knots of shear over 94-L and 30 knots of shear
over 95-L, however, the environment around both disturbances are forecast
to slowly become more favorable this weekend and very favorable next week
and I do think either or both disturbances will become tropical
depressions sometime late this weekend or early next week.
The track model guidance forecast 94-L to track through the Lesser
Antilles by late Saturday and then curve northwestward towards the
Bahamas by early next week. As for 95-L, the track model guidance
forecasts a more northerly track missing all of the Caribbean Islands. As
for the global models, the Canadian model forecasts that 94-L will be the
system to develop and forecasts it to be a intense storm just east of the
Bahamas in 6 days and forecasts this storm to come ashore in northeastern
South Carolina or southeastern North Carolina in 9 days. The GFS model
does not forecast any type of development. It should be noted that both
the UKMET and NOGAPS models forecast development of 94-L, albeit much
slower than the Canadian model. Lastly, the European model forecasts 94-L
to develop and forecasts it to track across the northern Caribbean next
week.
So, based on all of this, I think 94-L will be the one to develop and
looking at the environment near and ahead of this disturbance, I do not
expect tropical cyclone development from 94-L for the next couple of
days, however, as conditions become more favorable, I suspect that it
will become a tropical depression late this weekend or early next week.
This system will need to be watched very closely as the overall pattern
over the next week or two appears to favor systems getting very close to,
if not impacting the US Coastline. I will be monitoring this situation
very closely and keep you all updated.
The next tropical weather discussion will be issued by 10 am EDT Saturday
morning.
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SECURITY LEVEL MARSEC 1 - YELLOW - ELEVATED
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Tides for Charleston (Customhouse Wharf) starting with August 21, 2008.
Day High Tide Height Sunrise Moon Time % Moon
/Low Time Feet Sunset Visible
Th 21 Low 5:33 AM 0.0 6:48 AM Set 11:37 AM 82
21 High 11:40 AM 5.9 7:58 PM Rise 10:32 PM
21 Low 6:06 PM 0.6
F 22 High 12:00 AM 5.3 6:48 AM Set 12:45 PM 73
22 Low 6:20 AM 0.0 7:56 PM Rise 11:12 PM
22 High 12:33 PM 6.0
22 Low 7:03 PM 0.8
Sa 23 High 12:53 AM 5.1 6:49 AM Set 1:55 PM 62
23 Low 7:13 AM 0.1 7:55 PM Rise 11:59 PM
23 High 1:33 PM 6.0
23 Low 8:07 PM 1.0
Su 24 High 1:54 AM 5.0 6:50 AM Set 3:04 PM 51
24 Low 8:13 AM 0.2 7:54 PM
24 High 2:40 PM 6.0
24 Low 9:15 PM 1.0
M 25 High 3:02 AM 4.9 6:50 AM Rise 12:55 AM 39
25 Low 9:18 AM 0.2 7:53 PM Set 4:08 PM
25 High 3:49 PM 6.1
25 Low 10:23 PM 0.9
Tu 26 High 4:11 AM 4.9 6:51 AM Rise 1:59 AM 28
26 Low 10:24 AM 0.1 7:52 PM Set 5:05 PM
26 High 4:57 PM 6.2
26 Low 11:26 PM 0.7
W 27 High 5:19 AM 5.1 6:52 AM Rise 3:08 AM 18
27 Low 11:29 AM 0.0 7:50 PM Set 5:53 PM
27 High 5:59 PM 6.4
Th 28 Low 12:24 AM 0.5 6:52 AM Rise 4:19 AM 10
28 High 6:21 AM 5.4 7:49 PM Set 6:34 PM
28 Low 12:29 PM -0.2
28 High 6:55 PM 6.5
F 29 Low 1:17 AM 0.2 6:53 AM Rise 5:28 AM 4
29 High 7:18 AM 5.6 7:48 PM Set 7:08 PM
29 Low 1:24 PM -0.3
29 High 7:46 PM 6.5
Sa 30 Low 2:05 AM 0.1 6:54 AM Rise 6:35 AM 1
30 High 8:11 AM 5.9 7:47 PM Set 7:39 PM
30 Low 2:17 PM -0.3
30 High 8:33 PM 6.4
Su 31 Low 2:50 AM 0.0 6:54 AM Rise 7:39 AM 0
31 High 9:00 AM 6.0 7:45 PM Set 8:08 PM
31 Low 3:06 PM -0.1
31 High 9:16 PM 6.3
M 1 Low 3:33 AM 0.0 6:55 AM Rise 8:41 AM 1
1 High 9:47 AM 6.1 7:44 PM Set 8:36 PM
1 Low 3:53 PM 0.1
1 High 9:57 PM 6.0
Tu 2 Low 4:13 AM 0.1 6:55 AM Rise 9:42 AM 4
2 High 10:31 AM 6.0 7:43 PM Set 9:05 PM
2 Low 4:39 PM 0.4
2 High 10:37 PM 5.7
W 3 Low 4:52 AM 0.3 6:56 AM Rise 10:42 AM 10
3 High 11:14 AM 5.9 7:41 PM Set 9:35 PM
3 Low 5:25 PM 0.7
3 High 11:17 PM 5.4
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MARINE WEATHER
Today: Showers. High near 83. Breezy, with a east wind around 25 mph.
Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and
quarter of an inch possible.
Tonight: Showers likely, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a
low around 75. East wind around 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
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| | Notice posted on Friday, August 22, 2008 | |
Disclaimer
For quality assurance purposes please note well that while the above information is regularly vetted for accuracy it is not intended to replace the local knowledge or expertise pertaining to port conditions of our marine operations personnel. Port précis should always be verified by contacting the corresponding marine department of a particular location for the most up-to-date information.
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